fig-006173
Dementor, Black
Quantity 1
N/A
Harry Potter · 76405-1
LEGO 76405-1 Hogwarts Express - Collectors' Edition
New / sealed value$625.0025% above original retail
Original retail$499.99Launch price
Used value$442.25Current estimate
90-day trendN/A22 months recorded
PRICE GUIDE
Current LEGO 76405-1 values
Condition-specific market estimates compared with the original retail price.
New / sealed value
$625.00
+25% vs. retail
Used value
$442.25
$413.21 – $536.88
Original retail
$499.99
Released Aug 2022
Market values are estimates for the set condition shown; live retailer and marketplace prices may differ.
MARKET TREND
Price history
Source-reported monthly market closes through Aug 2026; these can differ from the current estimated market value.
Monthly close$625.0022 plotted months
Used value$442.25Current estimate
Used range$413.21 – $536.88Current low to high
Latest monthly close$625.00
Period low$530.00
Period high$839.99
Period change+8.7%
MARKET VALUE
Sealed price history
Latest
$625.00
+8.7% over period
View monthly price data
| Month | Open | Low | High | Close | Sales | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | $655.55 | $519.82 | $881.81 | $625.00 | 31 | Market data provider |
| 2026-07 | $649.95 | $424.45 | $839.99 | $839.99 | 53 | Market data provider |
| 2026-06 | $498.00 | $498.00 | $789.99 | $530.00 | 37 | Market data provider |
| 2026-05 | $547.01 | $500.00 | $789.99 | $660.60 | 37 | Market data provider |
| 2026-04 | $564.05 | $515.00 | $789.99 | $607.43 | 41 | Market data provider |
| 2026-03 | $649.00 | $537.50 | $774.99 | $687.40 | 32 | Market data provider |
| 2026-02 | $599.95 | $499.00 | $700.00 | $549.99 | 53 | Market data provider |
| 2026-01 | $485.00 | $485.00 | $945.23 | $601.92 | 49 | Market data provider |
| 2025-12 | $700.72 | $529.95 | $700.72 | $594.00 | 41 | Market data provider |
| 2025-11 | $521.99 | $509.99 | $799.95 | $678.81 | 44 | Market data provider |
| 2025-10 | $500.00 | $500.00 | $769.94 | $635.08 | 48 | Market data provider |
| 2025-09 | $639.98 | $424.99 | $859.38 | $629.99 | 37 | Market data provider |
| 2025-08 | $639.95 | $515.57 | $639.95 | $575.00 | 41 | Market data provider |
| 2025-07 | $575.00 | $529.76 | $820.06 | $545.00 | 20 | Market data provider |
| 2025-06 | $548.00 | $432.47 | $819.00 | $672.05 | 51 | Market data provider |
| 2025-05 | $502.93 | $454.08 | $846.26 | $679.99 | 17 | Market data provider |
| 2025-04 | $593.87 | $416.00 | $798.00 | $600.00 | 32 | Market data provider |
| 2025-03 | $649.99 | $418.00 | $799.00 | $597.26 | 51 | Market data provider |
| 2025-02 | $689.00 | $448.00 | $852.95 | $700.00 | 37 | Market data provider |
| 2025-01 | $550.00 | $424.00 | $724.73 | $653.60 | 61 | Market data provider |
| 2024-12 | $489.99 | $459.00 | $995.96 | $560.00 | 37 | Market data provider |
| 2024-11 | $499.99 | $499.99 | $574.99 | $574.99 | 22 | Market data provider |
EXTERNAL ESTIMATE
Independent Market Value Trend
Source-reported new/sealed market estimates, aggregated monthly and displayed in USD.
Latest estimate$664.26
Period low$408.04
Period high$672.22
Period change+45.7%
MARKET VALUE
Independent new/sealed market value
Latest
$664.26
+45.7% over period
View independent market value data
| Month | Open | Low | High | Close | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | $659.11 | $637.05 | $667.07 | $664.26 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2026-07 | $621.25 | $621.25 | $661.38 | $658.87 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2026-06 | $635.60 | $618.90 | $635.77 | $621.85 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2026-05 | $637.12 | $632.82 | $642.37 | $635.49 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2026-04 | $636.09 | $630.89 | $648.86 | $639.06 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2026-03 | $654.32 | $630.48 | $654.32 | $633.05 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2026-02 | $669.16 | $643.90 | $669.16 | $654.75 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2026-01 | $664.93 | $657.23 | $677.61 | $672.22 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-12 | $660.25 | $652.67 | $670.79 | $667.04 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-11 | $657.26 | $652.24 | $664.18 | $656.09 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-10 | $647.18 | $647.18 | $664.78 | $656.43 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-09 | $593.08 | $585.39 | $651.24 | $647.01 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-08 | $629.34 | $582.14 | $629.34 | $595.36 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-07 | $625.54 | $597.52 | $641.21 | $630.03 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-06 | $620.69 | $618.45 | $645.21 | $622.59 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-05 | $643.96 | $606.83 | $644.50 | $617.44 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-04 | $587.21 | $586.96 | $649.31 | $642.17 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-03 | $561.40 | $561.40 | $595.90 | $584.03 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-02 | $532.89 | $526.21 | $560.73 | $560.73 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2025-01 | $474.31 | $474.31 | $537.65 | $530.93 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-12 | $416.86 | $416.86 | $470.67 | $470.67 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-11 | $430.78 | $413.63 | $443.04 | $413.66 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-10 | $437.13 | $421.12 | $440.74 | $431.33 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-09 | $440.14 | $435.28 | $446.42 | $444.41 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-08 | $420.59 | $419.62 | $440.29 | $439.93 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-07 | $434.52 | $422.96 | $440.33 | $426.07 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-06 | $431.68 | $431.28 | $439.22 | $432.90 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-05 | $434.73 | $430.21 | $439.74 | $431.68 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-04 | $438.88 | $430.33 | $440.10 | $434.73 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-03 | $441.11 | $438.30 | $446.33 | $438.88 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-02 | $436.77 | $418.69 | $442.17 | $442.17 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2024-01 | $412.11 | $412.11 | $439.85 | $436.73 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-12 | $408.19 | $397.99 | $414.06 | $411.68 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-11 | $405.82 | $392.93 | $412.86 | $410.44 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-10 | $425.68 | $385.48 | $425.68 | $408.04 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-09 | $455.77 | $421.79 | $455.77 | $425.68 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-08 | $459.93 | $441.71 | $460.45 | $451.30 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-07 | $457.14 | $457.14 | $485.91 | $461.95 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-06 | $465.50 | $457.14 | $486.96 | $457.14 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-05 | $477.73 | $462.16 | $504.76 | $483.95 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-04 | $506.46 | $472.33 | $516.86 | $477.09 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-03 | $484.19 | $420.86 | $507.04 | $507.04 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-02 | $462.84 | $455.01 | $497.03 | $471.93 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2023-01 | $496.57 | $453.77 | $515.42 | $456.43 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2022-12 | $484.54 | $449.11 | $494.37 | $494.37 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2022-11 | $509.12 | $444.04 | $512.41 | $480.22 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2022-10 | $455.95 | $441.50 | $509.46 | $507.43 | Secondary-market data provider |
| 2022-09 | $448.12 | $447.39 | $489.15 | $455.95 | Secondary-market data provider |
MARKET ACTIVITY
Through Aug 2026
Sales and liquidity
Reported sealed-market sales and monthly price ranges for the latest 6 months.
Reported sales2316-month total
Monthly average38.5reported sales
Active months6 / 6with at least one sale
3-month trend+10%121 vs 110 sales
LiquidityHigh activitybased on reported sales
Recent monthly price distributionLow · close · high
Aug 2026
$625.00
$519.82
$625.00
$881.81
31 sales
Jul 2026
$839.99
$424.45
$839.99
$839.99
53 sales
Jun 2026
$530.00
$498.00
$530.00
$789.99
37 sales
May 2026
$660.60
$500.00
$660.60
$789.99
37 sales
Apr 2026
$607.43
$515.00
$607.43
$789.99
41 sales
Mar 2026
$687.40
$537.50
$687.40
$774.99
32 sales
Activity labels describe reported historical sales only; they do not guarantee that a set can be sold immediately.
VALUE OUTLOOK
Growth and retirement
Total growthN/ACurrent sealed value vs MSRP
Annual growthN/A12-month close change
1-year forecast$711.77+13.9%
5-year forecast$1,054.74+68.8%
5-year range$1,003.00 – $1,087.00Collected estimate
Used value range$413.21 – $536.88Observed market range
MethodSource-provided projectionDisplayed as collected; BrickPriceWatch does not recalculate it.
Forecast sourceMarket data providerSource attached to the forecast fields.
Recorded history22 monthsCurrent history coverage on BrickPriceWatch.
ConfidenceNot independently scoredA range appears only when the source supplies bounds.
Forecasts are directional estimates, not guaranteed future prices or investment advice. Actual value depends on condition, demand, fees, and sale timing.
An Exclusive D2C Harry Potter release, the Hogwarts Express Collectors' Edition (2022–2024) attracted interest for its large display scale and a wide cast of named minifigures, and its short shelf life tightened supply while remake risk and display-only scale keep longer-term gains uneven.
INCLUDED CHARACTERS
20 listed
Minifigures
fig-011746
Harry Potter, Sand Blue Shirt, Short Dark Tan Legs, Scared
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013030
Ron Weasley, Olive Green Jacket, Dirt On Nose
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013032
Hermione Granger, Gryffindor Robe Open with Tie, Short Legs, Skirt
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013033
Train Conductor, Dark Red Suit, Dark Red Cap, Warm Tan Head
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013034
Trolley Witch, Dark Red Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013035
Harry Potter, Dark Blue Jacket with Zipper, Medium Dark Bluish Gray Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013036
Ron Weasley, Dark Bluish Gray Jacket, Medium Dark Brown Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013037
Hermione Granger, Light Bluish Gray Sweater with Stripes, Medium Black Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013038
Remus Lupin, Dark Brown Torn Suit (Printed Legs)
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013039
Harry Potter, Open Light Bluish Gray Jacket over White Shirt, Dark Blue Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013040
Draco Malfoy, Black Jacket, Dark Green Shirt, Black Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013042
Luna Lovegood, Dark Pink Jacket, Printed Skirt
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013043
Harry Potter, Adult, Black Jacket, Dark Blue Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013044
Ginny Weasley, Adult, Dark Tan Jacket, Black Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013045
James Sirius Potter, Light Bluish Grey Jacket, Medium Dark Blue Legs
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013046
Albus Severus Potter
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013047
Lily Luna Potter
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013048
Ravenclaw Student
Quantity 1
N/A
fig-013049
Hufflepuff Student
Quantity 1
N/A
SET PRICE GUIDE
LEGO 76405-1 Hogwarts Express - Collectors' Edition price, value and history
LEGO 76405-1 Hogwarts Express - Collectors' Edition is a set released in 2022 in the Harry Potter theme with 5,139 pieces. This BrickPriceWatch price guide combines a current new and sealed value of $625.00, an original retail price of $499.99, and 22 months of source-reported price history in USD.
The current comparison is based on collected market observations rather than a guaranteed selling price. The recorded used value is $442.25. The set is recorded as retired.
Current market dataa current new and sealed value of $625.00
Retail comparisonan original retail price of $499.99
Retailer availabilityno recent verified retailer quote; open the offer panel for the latest observed links.
How to use this LEGO price guide
Use the price guide to compare new and sealed value with the original retail price, inspect monthly high, low, and closing prices, and review current retailer offers before buying. Set condition, completeness, packaging, shipping, taxes, and marketplace timing can change the final price.
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